"Every model shows that if we don't make progress in the next 20 years, human life will be gone from this planet"

Here is a thought: Maybe try not to kill whole settlements then and factor that in.
If she is a scientist in any field that matters to the problem (Sorry Philosophy, Arts, Gender Studies, etc. but you don't) she should know that it is impossible to make reliable models without a large enough sample-size. From what I've seen they don't have nearly enough people to gather a sample that large from enough points on the planet.

Cultures ability reacting to change differs. And I think one based on christianity might be the worst point to start from, since it is designed to actively hinder change.

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